Economic Strategy

Economic Strategy

Feasibility of an Islamic Monetary Union and Iran’s Position: A Strategic Analysis with Emphasis on the Euro Experience

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 PhD Student in Econometrics, University of Urmia, Urmia, Iran
2 Full Professor, Department of Economics, University of Urmia, Urmia, Iran
3 Associate Professor Economics, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Sanandaj, University of Kurdistan, Iran
10.22034/es.2026.559019.1905
Abstract
The idea of establishing an Islamic common currency has been proposed since 2003 as a strategy to enhance economic convergence and reduce the dependence of member states of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) on the Western financial system. Despite the lack of concrete implementation, the proposal remains of significant theoretical and strategic importance. This study aims to assess the feasibility of forming an Islamic common currency among OIC members, using a mixed approach (comparative and descriptive–analytical) and drawing on the Eurozone experience and the theory of Optimum Currency Areas (OCA), examining the economic, institutional, and political dimensions of the idea. The findings indicate that an Islamic common currency could potentially reduce transaction costs, increase intra-regional trade (40–60%), and mitigate sanctions-related risks, particularly for Iran. However, economic heterogeneity (an 82% disparity in GDP per capita), high reliance on oil revenues (around 60%), and geopolitical rivalries among countries such as Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey are major obstacles. Furthermore, the Eurozone crisis demonstrates that the absence of effective supervisory institutions and shock-adjustment mechanisms can lead to an unequal distribution of benefits between stronger and weaker economies. Therefore, a direct transition to a single Islamic currency is unrealistic, and its success requires a gradual, staged approach based on institutional convergence and complementary monetary arrangements, such as an Islamic settlement currency, which could reduce Iran’s dollar dependence and strengthen its position in the Islamic world economy.
Keywords
Subjects

پیران‌خو، سحر؛ امیدی، علی و باستانی‌فر، ایمان (1403). اقتصاد سیاسی بین‌المللی‌شدن ارزهای نوظهور؛ تحلیلی بر روندها و پیامدهای بین‌المللی‌شدن یوان. فصلنامه علمی رهیافت‌های سیاسی بین‌المللی، (78)، 1-28.
رجبی، احسان (1387). منافع و هزینه‌های پول مشترک در بازار مشترک اسلامی. فرایند مدیریت و توسعه، 21، 35-54.
رزاقی، سمیه و سلمانی، بهزاد (1398). بررسی امکان تشکیل منطقه بهینه پولی در کشورهای عضو سازمان همکاری اسلامی (OIC) با استفاده از تکنیک خوشه‌بندی فازی و خوشه‌بندی سنتی. نظریه‌های کاربردی اقتصاد، 20، 1-20.
زراء‌نژاد، منصور؛ فرازمند، حسن و فقه مجیدی، علی (1393). بررسی اثر پول مشترک بر تجارت خارجی کشورهای اسلامی طی دوره زمانی 1990-2010. اقتصاد پولی و مالی، پاییز و زمستان، (2)، 1-28.
شریفی، افسانه و عابدی، مهدی (1388). اتحادیه عرب: واکاوی یک ناکام: بررسی موانع درونی و ساختاری همگرایی عربی. تحقیقات سیاسی و بین‌المللی سال اول، 129-162.
فقه مجیدی، علی؛ احمدزاده، خالد و نجفی‌زاده، سیده‌فاطمه (1399). اثر پول مشترک بر تجارت دوجانبه بلوک‌های اقتصادی منطقه‌ای با رویکرد اقتصادسنجی فضایی. پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران، (35).
 
AMECO. (2023). Database 2023. Brussels: European Commission.
Ankasha, A. & Shahzad Shabbir, M. (2019). Common currency for Islamic countries: is it viable? Transnational Corporations Review, 222-234.
Baldwin, R. & Giavazzi, F. (2015). The Eurozone Crisis: A Consensus View of the Causes and a Few Possible Solutions. CEPR Press.
Baldwin, R. & Wyplosz, C. (2019). The Economics of European Integration. 6th ed. McGraw-Hill.
Baldwin, R. & Wyplosz, C. (2022). The Economics of European Integration. McGraw Hill.
Baldwin, R. (2020). The Globotics Upheaval: Globalization, Robotics, and the Future of Work. Oxford.
Chapra, M. U. (2016).  The Future of Economics: An Islamic Perspective. Kube Publishing Ltd.
Dar, H. A. & Presley, J. R. (2001). Islamic Finance: A Western Perspective. International Journal of Islamic Financial Services, 3(1), 1-13.
Darvas, Z. (2019).  The Euro Area's Decade of Stagnation. Bruegel Policy Contribution, (6).
De Grauwe, P. (2016).  Economics of Monetary Union. Oxford: Oxford.
De Grauwe, P. (2018).  Economics of Monetary Union. Oxford University Press.
Douglas, Campbell L.; Chentsov, Aleksandr (2023).  Breaking badly: the currency union effect on trade. Journal of International Money and Finance, (136), 102840.
ECB. (2023). data portal. Frankfurt: European Central Bank.
Eichengreen, B. (2010). The Euro: Love It or Leave It? Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 26(3), 385-404.
Eichengreen, B. (2020). The Euro: How a Common Currency Threatens the Future of Europe. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Eichengreen, B. (2021). The Euro: How a Common Currency Threatens the Future of Europe. Oxford UP.
El-Gamal, M. A. (2004).  Islamic Finance: Law, Economics, and Practice. Cambridge.
ELSTAT. (2023). Greece in Figures. Athens: Hellenic Statistical Authority.
European Commission (2021). The Economic Impact of the Euro. Publications Office of the EU.
European Commission (2022). The Economic Impact of the Euro. Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs.
Falianty, T. (2006). Endogenitas Dari Indikator Optimum Currency: Studi Empiris Di Negara ASEAN . Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia, 4(2), 1-29.
Frankel, J. A. & Rose, A. K. (1998).  The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria. The Economic Journal, 108(449), 1009-1025.
Frankel, J. A. & Rose, A. K. (2002). Frankel, JeffreyAn Estimate of the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade and Income. Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Andrew K. Rose. "An Estimate of the Effect of CThe Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(2), 437-466.
Gordon, T. (2024).  The Pros and Cons of a Common European Currency: A Multicountry Analysis. Journal of International Economics and Monetary Policy, 15(2), 45-67.
Henry, C. M. & Wilson, R. (2004). The Politics of Islamic Finance. Edinburgh.
Ilzetzki, E., Reinhart, C. M. & Rogoff, K. S. (2020). Why is the euro punching below its weight? Economic Policy, 35(103), 405-460.
IMF. (2015). Islamic Finance and Financial Sharia-Compliant Financial Instruments. International Monetary Fund.
IMF. (2023). International Monetary Fund. Annual Report 2023. IMF.
Iqbal, Z. & Mirakhor, A. (2011). An Introduction to Islamic Finance: Theory and Practice. Wiley.
Ismath Obiyathullah, B. (2006). A Common Currency Area for MENA. International Journal of Emerging, 197-215.
ISRA. (2020). Islamic Monetary Union: Prospects and Challenges. Islamic Monetary Union: Prospects and Challenges.
Jaccard, I. & Smets, F. (2017). Structural Asymmetries and Financial Imbalances in the Eurozone. ECB Working Paper No. 2076, European Central Bank, June.
Jurado, I., Walter, S., Konstant, N. & Dinas, E. (2020). Keeping the euro at any cost? Explaining attitudes toward the euro-austerity trade-off in Greece. European union politics, 21(3), 385-405.
Kamar, B. & Bakardzhieva, D. (2013). Economic Integration in the Middle East and North Africa. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, no. 6627.
Kamar, B. (2004). De Facto Exchange Rate Policies in the MENA Region: Toward. Paper presented for the 11th Annual Conference of The, 1-24.
Kawai, M. & Motonishi, T. (2005). Is East Asia an Optimum Currency Area? IMF Working Paper, no. 05/59.
Kenen, P. B. (1969). The Theory of Optimum Currency Areas: An Eclectic View." Monetary Problems of the International Economy, edited by Robert A. Mundell and Alexander K. Swoboda. University of Chicago Press, 1969, 41-60.
khan, M. M. (2008). The GCC Monetary Union—Choice of Exchange Rate Regime. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, 1-41.
Khan, M. S. & Sharma, S. (2008). Economic Integration and Monetary Union in the Gulf Cooperation Council. World Economics, 9(3), 1-22.
Khan, M. S. (2009). The GCC Monetary Union: Choice of Exchange Rate Regime. Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper Series, (09-1), 1-32.
Kuran, T. (2004). Islam and Mammon: The Economic Predicaments of Islamism. Princeton .
Lee, G. (2011). Gold dinar for the Islamic countries? Economic Modelling, 28(4), 1573-1586.
Masson, P. R. & Pattillo, C. (2005). The Monetary Geography of Africa. .Brookings Institution Press.
Memet, A. (2018). THE SINGLE CURRENCY FOR ISLAMIC NATIONS: DO HETEROGENEITIES MATTER? Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance, 223-236.
Mundell, R. A. (1961). A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas. The American Economic Review, 51(4), 657-665.
Mursa, G. (2014). Euro – Advantages and Disadvantages. CES Working Papers, 6(3), 60-67. EconStor.
OECD. (2023). OECD Economic Outlook, 2023. paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development .
Rodrik, D. (2011). The Globalization Paradox: Democracy and the Future of the World Economy. New York City: W. W. Norton & Company.
Rose, A. K. (2000). One Money, One Market: Estimating the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade. Economic Policy, 15(30), 7-46.
Sala-i-Martin, X. & Sachs, J. (1992).  Federal Fiscal Policy and Optimum Currency Areas. Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Paper, no. 1588.
SESRIC. (2015).  Statistic and database. http://www.sesrtcic.org
Sinn, H.-W. (2018). The Euro Trap: On Bursting Bubbles, Budgets, and Beliefs. Oxford.
Stiglitz, J. E. (2002). Globalization and Its Discontents. W. W. Norton & Company.
Stiglitz, J. E. (2016).  The Euro: How a Common Currency Threatens the Future of Europe. W.W. Norton & Company.
Studwell, J. (2013). How Asia Works: Success and Failure in the World's Most Dynamic Region. Profile Books Ltd.
Union, P. O. (2023). Regional Yearbook. (2023)  Luxembourg: Eurostat, Statistical Office of the European Union.
Véron, N. (2017).  Europe’s Capital Markets Union and the Euro. Bruegel Policy Contribution, 1-20.
World Bank (2015). New Country Classifications. http://data.worldbank.org
World Bank (2023). Transparency International. Washington, D.C: World Bank.

  • Receive Date 28 November 2025
  • Revise Date 26 December 2025
  • Accept Date 16 January 2026