Strategic-Field Analysis of Several Factors Affecting Liquefied Petroleum Gas Exports to ‎Selected Destinations (Within the Framework of Macro Energy Policies)‎

Varahrami, Vida; Abdolahi, Shirin

doi:10.22034/es.2026.568399.1922

Strategic-Field Analysis of Several Factors Affecting Liquefied Petroleum Gas Exports to ‎Selected Destinations (Within the Framework of Macro Energy Policies)‎

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

Vida Varahrami ¹

shirin abdolahi ²

¹ Associate Professor in Shahid Beheshti university, Tehran , Iran

² Master in economics, Shahid Beheshti university, Tehran , Iran

10.22034/es.2026.568399.1922

Abstract

The aim of this research is to examine the factors affecting Iran's liquefied petroleum gas exports to China, India, and Japan during the period 2009 to 2024 within the framework of macro energy policies. According to these policies, replacing the export of oil, gas, and petrochemical products instead of crude oil and natural gas export is highly important. Therefore, the variables under study included the gross domestic product (GDP) of the destination countries, real exchange rate, maritime transportation costs, global liquefied gas prices, economic sanctions, and privatization in Iran's petrochemical industry. The overall results of the research showed that the GDP of the destination countries and privatization had a positive and significant impact on exports, while sanctions and increased transportation costs had a negative effect on Iran's liquefied gas exports. Accordingly, it is suggested that, in order to replace liquefied gas exports for the export of oil, policymakers ensure stable exchange rates, develop the fleet and maritime transportation infrastructure, and reduce risks arising from sanctions in the petrochemical industry to enhance the country's competitive capacity and the sustainability of liquefied petroleum gas exports.

Keywords

Macro Energy Policies

Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) Exports

Gross Domestic Product

Non-Oil Commodity Exports

Subjects