Designing Dynamic Economic Model of Kermanshah Water Basin

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Shahroud University of Technology، shahroud، iran

2 Assistant Professor of Payame Noor University of Damghan

3 Assistant Professor of Economics, Shahrood University of Technology, Shahrood, Iran

Abstract

In this research, the integration of dynamic management and planning of Surface Water Resources and groundwater resources in Kermanshah city during 1996-95 has been investigated using systems dynamics method And by 1407 the simulation system was implemented. Research findings indicate that population is one of the main factors in increasing water demand.The results of the model implementation show that investing in the installation of lower consumption appliances in the three sectors of household, agriculture and industry can save and ultimately reduce demand and reduce water deficit index. The supply-side scenario also shows that investing in network remediation and leakage reduction has the greatest impact on reducing water scarcity And the increase in the price of water has the least effect on other variables. Based on the findings of the model, future development of the sewage network will be a useful strategy for water conservation and reduction of water scarcity index.Considering the environmental scenario, the maximum use of surface water can be made during the wet season.

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