monetary policy and industrial sector growth ( review of the current situation and provide a favorable model)
mohsen
rezaei
associate of imam hosein
author
rafi
hasani moghadam
assistant prof of damghan university
author
samira
motaghi
assistant prof of payame noor university, department of economic
author
amir ali
farhang
assistant prof of payame noor university
author
farzaneh
sadeghi
economic
author
text
article
2020
per
The present study intends to use analytical and modeling methods to investigate the impact of monetary policy on the value added of the industrial sector with sub-sectors of industry, mining, construction, water, electricity and gas in the Iranian economy during the period 1370-98 , Pay. Based on this, first, using the generalized torque econometrics (GMM) method, the current situation is identified and then, by examining and pathology of monetary policies, to extract strategies and operational strategies in order to achieve the desired situation using the SWOT method.The present study intends to use analytical and modeling methods to investigate the impact of monetary policy on the value added of the industrial sector with sub-sectors of industry, mining, construction, water, electricity and gas in the Iranian economy during the period 1370-98 , Pay. Based on this, first, using the generalized torque econometrics (GMM) method, the current situation is identified and then, by examining and pathology of monetary policies, to extract strategies and operational strategies in order to achieve the desired situation using the SWOT method
Economic Strategy
پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظام
2252-0597
9
v.
33
no.
2020
5
36
https://econrahbord.csr.ir/article_119218_f3902e862c62d9179078595fea73dd6d.pdf
A Comparative Study of Natural Gas Export Policy and Energy Security in Russia, Qatar & Iran
Amirhossein
Chitsazzadeh
Graduated from MA Political Science Program at Tehran University
author
Seyyed Gholamhossein
Hassantash
Member of Scientific/Research Board of Institute for International Energy Studies (IIES)
author
text
article
2020
per
The authors’ main objective is to examine the nature of the relationship between the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI)'s gas export policy and its national security policies as well as its energy security policies. The research hypothesis postulates that success or failure of Iranian gas export policy is related to energy security criteria of the two sides of transaction. Moreover, this association is affected by Iran's national security policy. To gain conceptual framework for analyzing Iranian gas export policy, we try to compare gas export policies of Qatar and Russia, the two key natural gas exporters in the world.The studies of gas export negotiations conducted in the past three decades in addition to challenges toward mega project of Iran’s gas export clearly show lack of sufficient knowledge of Iranian energy policy-makers about energy security concepts. Overlooking the requirements of energy security in the process of gas export policymakig has greatly contributed to the loss of Iran's geo-economic potentials in spite of its considerable natural gas resources. Furthermore, Iran’s gas export policy is under pressure from the US imposed sanctions with "lack of supply security" justification for clients and is rooted in Iranian national security and foreign policy. Russia has also been striving to prevent major natural gas producers like Iran to enter the European market in order to protect its "demand security" across the continent.
Economic Strategy
پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظام
2252-0597
9
v.
33
no.
2020
37
69
https://econrahbord.csr.ir/article_119219_c291e08ddd61eaafa91dabe4aa9bc9fe.pdf
Money as Anfal; the theoretical basis for endogenous financing of production
مهدی
محمدی
مرکز علم فناوری اقتصاد مقاومتی دانشگاه جامع امام حسین علیه السلام تهران ایران
author
text
article
2020
per
Despite extensive studies on the nature of money and access to light on the essence of money, there are still ambiguities in this regard. Theorizing about the nature of money, ownership of money, and monetary governance from a religious perspective can solve many of the new issues of financing, interest rates, and prescribing a new mechanism for allocating and equipping economic activities and guaranteeing the goals of the Islamic economic system. In the context of a resilient economy and support for national production. Therefore, knowing the nature of money and formulating the theory of money as Anfal can guarantee the realization of the goals of the Islamic economic system and achieve effective monetary policies in addition to the basic implications for monetary governance and its relationship with legitimate political governance. According to Anfal, the use of monetary and credit resources as a priority will be in the hands of those involved in effective production activities and those who seek to disrupt the national economy in speculative activities should be fined. It is important to note that the liquidity accumulated in the monetary and financial sectors of the economy will gradually be eliminated at the negative interest rate of the deposit, but it is necessary to eliminate the motives of speculation and speculation in other financial markets and direct liquidity to production
Economic Strategy
پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظام
2252-0597
9
v.
33
no.
2020
71
111
https://econrahbord.csr.ir/article_119220_5a934d0613b064b4b510d9261515d7ec.pdf
The future of oil and its impact on the economic security of the Islamic Republic of Iran
Farhad
Rahbar
Tehran University
author
Ali
Vatani
Tehran University
author
Farzad
Mokhles-al-Aemmeh
Supreme National Defense University
author
text
article
2020
per
Energy resources are one of the most important issues related to the current human civilization. Among all energy carriers, hydrocarbon resources have an unrivaled position in the world's energy basket. The long-term impact of oil on the economic security of the Islamic Republic of Iran is important as one of the largest countries with conventional hydrocarbon reserves on the one hand and an oil-dependent economy on the other. Climate change, energy transitions and the changing role of oil, the most important mega-trends and technological changes related to renewable energy, energy efficiency, increased oil and electric vehicle extraction, increased production from unconventional oil and gas sources and the digital transformation of effective propulsion and driving forces shaping oil futures. The long-term future of oil will undermine economic security as one of the key dimensions of national security. In order to reduce the negative effects of the economy's dependence on oil and stabilize the country's economy and with the aim of transforming the oil-based economy into an oil-based economy, adopt six priority strategies, including reforming the budgeting system, improving the energy subsidy system, integrating decision-making and policy-making. In the energy sector, it is necessary to complete and develop the value chain, invest in renewable energy, and ultimately increase oil production in order to convert underground resources into surface resources and create wealth from oil exports.
Economic Strategy
پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظام
2252-0597
9
v.
33
no.
2020
113
156
https://econrahbord.csr.ir/article_119221_d959f8f0979a20279e851fe927c62def.pdf
Investigating the Effectiveness of Demographic Variables on Household Spending Pattern with the Approach of Increasing Insurance Penetration
Abolfazl
Rahimi
Faculty Member of Economics and Political Science
author
HasanAli
Ghanbari Maman
Faculty Member of Economics and Political Science
author
Reza
Mohseni
Faculty Member of Economics and Political Science
author
text
article
2020
per
Undoubtedly, consumption is an important factor in the economy and household welfare, and increasing items of household consumption expenditures will lead to an increase in total consumption and household welfare. Insurance is one of the household consumption items, nowadays; it is inevitable not to have an insurance policy in the household. Insurers are trying to increase the influence of insurance on households, in other words, they are looking to increase sales of their products among households. The estimates of this article using the data of household expenditure income of the Statistics Center of Iran in 2009-2010 show that demographic features are effective in the household expenditure pattern. As the variable of residence, the number of people with household literacy, age, gender and employment conditions of the head of the household play a role in consumption.The estimates of this article using the data of household expenditure income of the Statistics Center of Iran in 2009-2010 show that demographic features are effective in the household expenditure pattern. As the variable of residence, the number of people with household literacy, age, gender and employment conditions of the head of the household play a role in consumption.
Economic Strategy
پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظام
2252-0597
9
v.
33
no.
2020
157
179
https://econrahbord.csr.ir/article_119222_89e86607f794a884850e0036f98bddbc.pdf
Evaluate the strategic choices of declining manufacturing businesses with a system dynamics approach
Peyman
Mirab Astaneh
PhD in Production and Operations Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
author
Amir
Taghi Tehrani
PhD Student in Technology Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Allameh Tabatabai University, Tehran, Iran
author
text
article
2020
per
Focusing on financial performance indicators, the present study simulates possible strategic choices of businesses in managing organizational processes in a situation where the industry is experiencing a decline (demand decline) using a system dynamics approach. The system model and causal relationships of its variables are modeled according to the experimental foundations of the research and are simulated and analyzed using the system dynamics approach in the software environment.The results of research consistent with previous studies indicate that strategic decisions in the management of organizational processes should be made according to financial indicators. Implementation of different scenarios regarding the location of consumption of resources derived from business activities, focusing on financial indicators of return on equity, total fixed capital, amount of borrowed cash and asset index minus debt indicates that the cost of this Resources in internal processes (short-term investment), resource extraction and profit sharing, and finally, investments in equipment and machinery can be given the highest priority, respectively.
Economic Strategy
پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظام
2252-0597
9
v.
33
no.
2020
181
216
https://econrahbord.csr.ir/article_119223_8bf87574557b5a496d3f7b9b5e24d026.pdf